{"id":102583,"date":"2026-03-15T11:35:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-15T08:35:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/rritja-e-nivelit-te-deteve-me-e-frikshme-sesa-mendohej\/"},"modified":"2026-03-15T11:35:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-15T08:35:23","slug":"rritja-e-nivelit-te-deteve-me-e-frikshme-sesa-mendohej","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/rritja-e-nivelit-te-deteve-me-e-frikshme-sesa-mendohej\/","title":{"rendered":"Rritja e nivelit t\u00eb deteve m\u00eb e frikshme sesa mendohej"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Rritja<\/figure>\n

Nj\u00eb studim i ri i botuar n\u00eb revist\u00ebn shkencore \u201cNature\u201d,\u00a0ka nxjerr\u00eb n\u00eb drit\u00eb nj\u00eb fakt shqet\u00ebsues: pothuajse t\u00eb gjitha vler\u00ebsimet e deritanishme p\u00ebr rritjen\u00a0e nivelit t\u00eb detit jan\u00eb t\u00eb pasakta.<\/p>\n

Hulumtimi, i cili analizoi 385 studime t\u00eb kryera midis viteve 2009-2025, arriti n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se 99\u00a0p\u00ebr qind\u00a0e tyre kan\u00eb keqp\u00ebrdorur t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat, duke \u00e7uar n\u00eb nj\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb madh t\u00eb rrezikut p\u00ebr popullsin\u00eb bot\u00ebrore.<\/p>\n

Problemi kryesor q\u00ebndron te metodologjia. Shumica e studiuesve kan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur modele matematike teorike t\u00eb form\u00ebs s\u00eb Tok\u00ebs, t\u00eb njohura si \u201cgjeoid\u00eb\u201d, n\u00eb vend t\u00eb matjeve aktuale t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb detit.<\/p>\n

Vet\u00ebm 0.3\u00a0p\u00ebr qind\u00a0e studimeve i kan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur k\u00ebto modele n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb korrekte. N\u00eb rajonet tropikale dhe Azin\u00eb Juglindore, hendeku midis modelit teorik dhe nivelit real t\u00eb detit mund t\u00eb kaloj\u00eb 1 met\u00ebr.<\/p>\n

Mesatarisht, studimi tregon se niveli i detit \u00ebsht\u00eb 27 Problemi kryesor q\u00ebndron te metodologjia. Shumica e studiuesve kan\u00eb p\u00ebrdorur modele matematike teorike t\u00eb form\u00ebs s\u00eb Tok\u00ebs, t\u00eb njohura sicentimetra m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se sa sugjerohej m\u00eb par\u00eb.\u00a0Ky gabim ka pasoja zinxhir n\u00eb politikat globale. Shum\u00eb nga k\u00ebto studime jan\u00eb cituar n\u00eb raportet e IPCC-s\u00eb (Paneli Nd\u00ebrqeveritar p\u00ebr Ndryshimet Klimatike).<\/p>\n

Duke aplikuar korrigjimin e ri, numri i njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb jetojn\u00eb n\u00eb zona bregdetare t\u00eb ul\u00ebta (n\u00ebn 10 metra mbi nivelin e detit) rritet nga 896 milion\u00eb q\u00eb vler\u00ebsonte IPCC, n\u00eb nj\u00eb shif\u00ebr trondit\u00ebse midis 966 milion\u00eb dhe 1.07 miliard\u00eb njer\u00ebzish.<\/p>\n

Rritja e nivelit t\u00eb detit shkaktohet nga shkrirja e akullnajave dhe zgjerimi termik i ujit, i cili thith 90\u00a0p\u00ebr qind\u00a0t\u00eb nxeht\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb tep\u00ebrt t\u00eb prodhuar nga emetimet\u00a0ndot\u00ebse n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, matja e sakt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb sepse sip\u00ebrfaqja e oqeanit nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e rrafsh\u00ebt. Sipas autorit t\u00eb studimit t\u00eb fundit Philip Minderhoud, kjo\u00a0\u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb \u201cpik\u00eb e verb\u00ebr metodologjike\u201d.<\/p>\n

Shembulli i Delt\u00ebs s\u00eb Lumit Mekong n\u00eb Vietnam \u00ebsht\u00eb alarmues. Gjat\u00eb 25 viteve\u00a0s\u00eb fundit, sip\u00ebrfaqja e delt\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb fundosur mesatarisht me 18 centimetra, n\u00eb nj\u00eb rajon ku lart\u00ebsia mesatare \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm 82 centimetra mbi nivelin e detit.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2020, ky proces la mbi 200.000 familje pa uj\u00eb t\u00eb pijsh\u00ebm. N\u00ebse nivelet e detit rriten me 1 met\u00ebr deri n\u00eb vitin 2100, si\u00e7 parashikojn\u00eb skenar\u00ebt aktual\u00eb, midis 77 dhe 132 milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz mund t\u00eb gjenden duke jetuar n\u00eb zona q\u00eb teknikisht jan\u00eb n\u00ebn nivelin e detit.<\/p>\n

Aktualisht, rreth 80 milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz jetojn\u00eb tashm\u00eb n\u00ebn k\u00ebt\u00eb nivel, 50 milion\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se sa mendohej m\u00eb par\u00eb, duke mbijetuar vet\u00ebm fal\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebs mbrojt\u00ebse.\u00a0P\u00ebrfundimi \u00ebsht\u00eb i qart\u00eb: shum\u00eb zona bregdetare jan\u00eb tashm\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb af\u00ebr pragut t\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjeve sesa tregojn\u00eb hartat.<\/p>\n

Edhe pse teknologjia mund t\u00eb ndihmoj\u00eb, kostoja e saj mbetet e lart\u00eb, duke i l\u00ebn\u00eb rajonet m\u00eb t\u00eb varfra t\u00eb ekspozuara ndaj nj\u00eb rreziku q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb\u00a0i\u00a0pranish\u00ebm nga sa e kishim parashikuar. \/tesheshi.com\/<\/p>\n

\n

Burimi: tesheshi<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nj\u00eb studim i ri i botuar n\u00eb revist\u00ebn shkencore \u201cNature\u201d,\u00a0ka nxjerr\u00eb n\u00eb drit\u00eb nj\u00eb fakt shqet\u00ebsues: pothuajse t\u00eb gjitha vler\u00ebsimet e deritanishme p\u00ebr rritjen\u00a0e nivelit t\u00eb detit jan\u00eb t\u00eb pasakta. Hulumtimi, i cili analizoi 385 studime t\u00eb kryera midis viteve 2009-2025, arriti n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se 99\u00a0p\u00ebr qind\u00a0e tyre kan\u00eb keqp\u00ebrdorur t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat, duke \u00e7uar n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102582,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-102583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-teknologji"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102583","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102583"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102583\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102583"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102583"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}