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Trupi politik britanik \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebri dredhues. Theresa May ka em\u00ebruar ministra t\u00eb rinj, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb sekretarin e saj t\u00eb tret\u00eb t\u00eb Brexit dhe duke num\u00ebruar, pas nj\u00eb raundi tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb dor\u00ebheqjeve t\u00eb kabinetit.<\/strong> <\/p>\n Kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt e kryeministres jan\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb ethshme (n\u00ebse jo) duke komplotuar p\u00ebr ta sjell\u00eb posht\u00eb. Pozicioni i opozit\u00ebs Laboriste \u00ebsht\u00eb i pashpres\u00eb. Shkaku i k\u00ebtij kaosi \u00ebsht\u00eb se ata me mashtrime t\u00eb gjata p\u00ebr at\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb thoshte Brexit, jan\u00eb detyruar t\u00eb g\u00eblltisin nj\u00eb doz\u00eb realiteti.<\/p>\n Me koh\u00eb negociuese pothuajse, Britania ka marr\u00ebveshjen e pap\u00ebrsosur q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte gjithmon\u00eb e mundur. Premtimet p\u00ebr t\u00eb patur tort\u00eb dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb ngr\u00ebn\u00eb i kan\u00eb dh\u00ebn\u00eb mund\u00ebsi nj\u00eb oferte m\u00eb pak t\u00eb shijshme. Megjithat\u00eb, nd\u00ebr Brexiter\u00ebve jeton nj\u00eb fantazi shpres\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebse: ideja se, n\u00ebse gjith\u00e7ka tjet\u00ebr d\u00ebshton, Britania mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrparoj\u00eb jasht\u00eb Bashkimit Europian pa n\u00ebnshkruar asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje. Ithtar\u00ebt e ides\u00eb tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb Brexit pa marr\u00ebveshje, si nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur dh\u00ebnien e terrenit ose parave n\u00eb Bruksel. Ata hedhin posht\u00eb v\u00ebrejtjet si nj\u00eb raund tjet\u00ebr i alarmit “Projekti Frika” q\u00eb mbet\u00ebn t\u00eb mbetur para referendumit.<\/p>\n Ata jan\u00eb gabimisht t\u00eb gabuar. \u00cbsht\u00eb koha p\u00ebr t\u00eb zhbllokuar fantazit\u00eb e fundit, dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikshmit, t\u00eb Brexit.<\/p>\n Nocioni q\u00eb Britania duhet t\u00eb largohet nga BE pa r\u00ebn\u00eb dakord p\u00ebr kushtet e daljes apo pagesa e kart\u00ebs s\u00eb saj ka fituar monedh\u00ebn. Ndoshta dy duzina Tory MPS duan nj\u00eb rezultat t\u00eb till\u00eb, tani q\u00eb nj\u00eb cake-and-eat-it marr\u00ebveshje \u00ebsht\u00eb jasht\u00eb menys\u00eb. Duke pasur parasysh shumic\u00ebn e holl\u00eb t\u00eb mesh\u00ebs s\u00eb qeveris\u00eb, ky grup i vog\u00ebl ka ndikim t\u00eb pamohuesh\u00ebm. Garancit\u00eb nga ministrat e nivelit t\u00eb lart\u00eb q\u00eb Parlamenti do t\u00eb bllokonte nj\u00eb dalje pa marr\u00ebveshje, jan\u00eb kushtetuese t\u00eb diskutueshme. Publiku, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, jan\u00eb t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuar q\u00eb nuk ka asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje. Sondazhet tregojn\u00eb se shum\u00eb votues do t\u00eb preferonin nj\u00eb kandidat nga BE-ja se sa t\u00eb pranojn\u00eb kompromisin q\u00eb znj. May ka goditur.<\/p>\n Realiteti \u00ebsht\u00eb se asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje nuk p\u00ebrb\u00ebn nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje shum\u00eb t\u00eb keqe, si\u00e7 tregon edhe konferenca jon\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb jav\u00eb. Ajo do t\u00eb griste 45 vjet marr\u00ebveshje me kontinentin q\u00eb n\u00eb kujtes\u00ebn e gjall\u00eb ka shkuar nga k\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi ekzistencial ndaj aleatit vital. Ajo do t\u00eb shk\u00ebmbej\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimin e tregut t\u00eb vet\u00ebm t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb p\u00ebr marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet tregtare m\u00eb t\u00eb zhveshura t\u00eb mundshme. Renegimi n\u00eb \u00a3 39bn ($ 50bn) n\u00eb detyrimet ndaj BE-s\u00eb do t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrronte kredibilitetin nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Britanis\u00eb. Arritja e asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje mbi kufirin irlandez do t\u00eb testonte Marr\u00ebveshjen e s\u00eb Premt\u00ebs s\u00eb Mir\u00eb q\u00eb p\u00ebrfundoi nj\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb armatosur serioz. Dhe zhvendosja e dhunshme e gati \u00e7do marr\u00ebveshje ligjore midis Britanis\u00eb dhe Europ\u00ebs do t\u00eb prek\u00eb jet\u00ebn e p\u00ebrditshme si asgj\u00eb jasht\u00eb koh\u00ebs s\u00eb luft\u00ebs.<\/p>\n Miti ka pranuar se asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje thjesht nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje tregtare. P\u00ebrkrah\u00ebsit e nj\u00eb daljeje pa marr\u00ebveshje thon\u00eb se do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb tregtin\u00eb Britanike me BE-n\u00eb n\u00eb termat standarde t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorura nga an\u00ebtar\u00ebt e tjer\u00eb t\u00eb Organizat\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore t\u00eb Tregtis\u00eb (OBT). Jo-tregtar\u00ebt argumentojn\u00eb, sakt\u00ebsisht, se Britania mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrshtatet p\u00ebrfundimisht me k\u00ebt\u00eb. Do t\u00eb ishte e dhimbshme, por ekonomia mund t\u00eb l\u00ebvizte p\u00ebrtej industrive si prodhimi i makinave, t\u00eb cilat do t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrroheshin nga tarifat prej 10% q\u00eb do t\u00eb imponohej nga BE-ja n\u00eb eksportet britanike. Konsumator\u00ebt do t\u00eb fitonin n\u00ebse qeveria do t\u00eb merrte shum\u00eb pak gjasa q\u00eb t\u00eb shfuqizonte t\u00eb gjitha tarifat, si\u00e7 sugjerojn\u00eb ekonomist\u00ebt pa tregtar\u00eb. Por sektor\u00ebt e mbrojtur, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht bujq\u00ebsia, do t\u00eb thaheshin. Dhe shum\u00eb votues t\u00eb L\u00ebnies mund t\u00eb habiten se \u00e7mimi i daljes ishte r\u00ebnia e shum\u00eb prej prodhimit t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb Britanis\u00eb dhe r\u00ebnies s\u00eb bujq\u00ebsis\u00eb.<\/p>\n M\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishmja, asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb jo vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje tregtare, por shk\u00ebputja e nj\u00eb korpusi t\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeve ligjore me BE-n\u00eb. Britania do t\u00eb lihej pa rregulla p\u00ebr t\u00eb qeverisur tregtin\u00eb me materiale radioaktive, tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare t\u00eb energjis\u00eb elektrike, pastrimin e kontratave financiare, aviacionin, rregullimin e barnave, kontrollin e emigracionit dhe shum\u00eb gj\u00ebra tjera. Ajo q\u00eb disa Brexiter\u00eb e p\u00ebrshkruajn\u00eb si nj\u00eb “pushim t\u00eb past\u00ebr” nga Europa do t\u00eb ishin n\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7rregullt.<\/p>\n P\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsuesit e mosmarr\u00ebveshjeve kund\u00ebrshtuan se Britania dhe BE do t\u00eb n\u00ebnshkruajn\u00eb shpejt marr\u00ebveshjet e an\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb zbutur m\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebqijat e fluturimeve q\u00eb lejojn\u00eb kaosin, p\u00ebr shembull, p\u00ebr t\u00eb sjell\u00eb n\u00eb sht\u00ebpi banor\u00ebt e bllokuar. Por nuk ka gjasa q\u00eb BE do t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se minimumi n\u00ebse Britania nuk do t\u00eb paguaj\u00eb borxhet e saj. Ajo q\u00eb mbetet vullneti i mir\u00eb do t\u00eb kthehej n\u00eb pluhur. Brexiter\u00ebt thon\u00eb se mungesat mund t\u00eb shmangen n\u00ebse Britania i hodhi kufijt\u00eb e saj t\u00eb hapur ndaj produkteve t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb pa kontrolle. Por p\u00ebrjashtimi i \u00e7do lloj rregullimi do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb e \u00e7uditshme p\u00ebr Britanin\u00eb q\u00eb “t\u00eb merrte kontrollin”, si\u00e7 premtoi fushata e L\u00ebnies.<\/p>\n N\u00ebse Zonja May mund t\u00eb pyes\u00eb se si ky rezultat i tmerrsh\u00ebm ka ardhur t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb popullor se marr\u00ebveshja e saj e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb, ajo duhet t\u00eb filloj\u00eb duke lexuar s\u00ebrish fjalimet e veta. Mantra e saj se “asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb mir\u00eb se nj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje e keqe”, duhej t\u00eb bindte BE-n\u00eb p\u00ebr t’i dh\u00ebn\u00eb Britanis\u00eb kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb mira. Nuk funksionoi. Por ajo goditi nj\u00eb akord n\u00eb sht\u00ebpi. David Davis, sekretari i par\u00eb i Brexit, i krahasoi bisedimet me blerjen e nj\u00eb sht\u00ebpie: “Ju nuk ecni brenda dhe thoni: “Un\u00eb do ta blej\u00eb sht\u00ebpin\u00eb, tani sa \u00ebsht\u00eb \u00e7mimi? “Pra, pse duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb ndryshe nj\u00eb negociat\u00eb e madhe si kjo? “P\u00ebrgjigjja \u00ebsht\u00eb se blerja e nj\u00eb sht\u00ebpie nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrojm\u00eb pran\u00eb status quo-s\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa jo n\u00ebnshkrimi i marr\u00ebveshjes s\u00eb Brexit do t\u00eb thot\u00eb t\u00eb shk\u00ebmbejm\u00eb status quo-in p\u00ebr nj\u00eb alternativ\u00eb t\u00eb re dhe shum\u00eb t\u00eb keqe. Analogu i blerjes s\u00eb sht\u00ebpive funksionon vet\u00ebm n\u00ebse bler\u00ebsi ka djegur sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e tyre ekzistuese dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb duke negociuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb bler\u00eb t\u00eb vetmen n\u00eb treg.<\/p>\n Avokat\u00ebt e mosmarr\u00ebveshjeve me t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin besim t\u00eb gabuar me t\u00eb cilin iu afruan bisedimeve t\u00eb Brexit. Paralajm\u00ebrimet e zymta p\u00ebr at\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb pas referendumit kan\u00eb dal\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb tejskajshme. Britania nuk ka r\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00eb recesion, si\u00e7 parashikojn\u00eb L\u00ebn\u00ebsit, edhe pse performanca e saj n\u00eb krahasim me ekonomit\u00eb e tjera t\u00eb p\u00ebrparuara ka r\u00ebn\u00eb. Mund t\u00eb mos ndikoj\u00eb ndikimi i asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshjeje t\u00eb jesh m\u00eb pak i keq se sa t\u00eb frik\u00ebsohesh? Ndoshta. Por nd\u00ebrprerja e shkaktuar nga nj\u00eb dalje e pand\u00ebrprer\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte shum\u00eb m\u00eb dramatike sesa d\u00ebmtimi ekonomik i shkaktuar nga votimi i Brexit. <\/p>\n Publiku nuk mund ta shoh\u00eb leht\u00eb at\u00eb q\u00eb kan\u00eb humbur, si rezultat i anulimit t\u00eb Britanis\u00eb nga t\u00eb qenit an\u00ebtari m\u00eb i shpejt\u00eb i G7 n\u00eb nj\u00eb nga m\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalta. Nj\u00eb Brexit pa marr\u00ebveshje, nga ana tjet\u00ebr, mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb efekte shum\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme. Esencialet thahen, udh\u00ebtar\u00ebt bllokohen, autostradat bllokohen: k\u00ebto gj\u00ebra sjellin posht\u00eb qeverit\u00eb dhe minojn\u00eb besimin n\u00eb politik\u00ebn demokratike. <\/p>\n N\u00eb vitin 2000 administrata e Tony Blair u zhyt n\u00eb kriz\u00eb kur protestuesit e kamion\u00ebve bllokuan rafinerit\u00eb e naft\u00ebs. Protestat zgjat\u00ebn mezi nj\u00eb jav\u00eb, por ende detyruan supermarkete t\u00eb ushqehen me buk\u00eb dhe qum\u00ebsht, dhe qeverin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebrndar\u00eb ambulanca t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb. \u00cbsht\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb imagjinohet ndonj\u00eb qeveri q\u00eb mbijeton kaosin e nj\u00eb Brexit pa marr\u00ebveshje, e l\u00ebre m\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebtin sa zonja May. Deri m\u00eb tani, vendimi p\u00ebr t\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb BE-n\u00eb ka ngadal\u00ebsuar Britanin\u00eb, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb ta shkel\u00eb at\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, duke l\u00ebn\u00eb pa marr\u00ebveshje, mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb aksident. <\/p>\n Ky artikull u shfaq n\u00eb seksionin e botimit The Economist t\u00eb shtypur n\u00ebn titullin “E v\u00ebrteta p\u00ebr asnj\u00eb marr\u00ebveshje”.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Trupi politik britanik \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebri dredhues. Theresa May ka em\u00ebruar ministra t\u00eb rinj, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb sekretarin e saj t\u00eb tret\u00eb t\u00eb Brexit dhe duke num\u00ebruar, pas nj\u00eb raundi tjet\u00ebr t\u00eb dor\u00ebheqjeve t\u00eb kabinetit. Kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebt e kryeministres jan\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb ethshme (n\u00ebse jo) duke komplotuar p\u00ebr ta sjell\u00eb posht\u00eb. Pozicioni i opozit\u00ebs Laboriste \u00ebsht\u00eb i […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48251,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[3803,1057,2044,941,2181],"class_list":["post-48250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-aktuale","tag-bashkimi-europian","tag-brexit","tag-britania-e-madhe","tag-theresa-may"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48250","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48250"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48250\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48251"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48250"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48250"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48250"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}