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Sipas nj\u00eb analize nga portali meteorologjik Severe Weather Europe, fenomeni klimatik La Ni\u00f1a po dob\u00ebsohet me shpejt\u00ebsi mbi Paq\u00ebsorin tropikal, duke sh\u00ebnuar fillimin e nj\u00eb ndryshimi t\u00eb madh n\u00eb modelet globale t\u00eb motit. Megjith\u00ebse ndikimi i tij n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb deri n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb pranver\u00ebs, meteorolog\u00ebt parashikojn\u00eb se Evropa mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrjetoj\u00eb mot m\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb se mesatarja n\u00eb muajt e ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
La Ni\u00f1a, faza e ftoht\u00eb e ciklit ENSO (El Ni\u00f1o \u2013 Oscilimi Jugor), ka pasur nj\u00eb ndikim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm n\u00eb motin global n\u00eb muajt e fundit. Megjithat\u00eb, t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e fundit tregojn\u00eb se anomalit\u00eb e ftohta n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor po t\u00ebrhiqen me shpejt\u00ebsi nga per\u00ebndimi, nd\u00ebrsa nj\u00eb shtres\u00eb e ngroht\u00eb uji po p\u00ebrhapet n\u00ebn sip\u00ebrfaqen e oqeanit, nj\u00eb nga shenjat kryesore t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb La Ni\u00f1a-s.<\/p>\n
Edhe pse oqeani po ndryshon me shpejt\u00ebsi, reagimi atmosferik \u00ebsht\u00eb vonuar, prandaj ndikimi i tij pritet ende n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb pranver\u00ebs 2026.<\/p>\n
Sipas parashikimeve afatgjata dhe modeleve historike, faza e fundit e La Ni\u00f1a n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn nga shkurti deri n\u00eb prill zakonisht sjell mot m\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn Per\u00ebndimore dhe Qendrore. Arsyeja \u00ebsht\u00eb forcimi i rrymave per\u00ebndimore dhe jugper\u00ebndimore q\u00eb sjellin aj\u00ebr m\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb nga Atlantiku.<\/p>\n
Parashikimet sezonale konfirmojn\u00eb nj\u00eb gjas\u00eb n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb temperaturave mbi mesataren n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs, me mot m\u00eb t\u00eb shpesht\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshuesh\u00ebm dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb lag\u00ebsht, por pa val\u00ebt e theksuara t\u00eb ftohta q\u00eb jan\u00eb karakteristike p\u00ebr episodet m\u00eb t\u00eb forta t\u00eb dimrit.<\/p>\n
Modelet meteorologjike, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb parashikimet afatgjata t\u00eb ECMWF, tregojn\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb fund t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb La Ni\u00f1a-s dhe nj\u00eb kalim n\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o q\u00eb n\u00eb ver\u00ebn e vitit 2026, me mund\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb ky fenomen t\u00eb forcohet m\u00eb tej deri n\u00eb dimrin e vitit 2026\/2027.<\/p>\n
El Ni\u00f1o, faza e ngroht\u00eb e ciklit ENSO, nuk ka nj\u00eb ndikim aq t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb sa ka n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn e Veriut, por t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat historike tregojn\u00eb se ai mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb ndryshimet n\u00eb rrug\u00ebt e rrjedh\u00ebs s\u00eb ajrit, q\u00eb shpesh do t\u00eb thot\u00eb mot m\u00eb i lag\u00ebsht dhe i paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb Evrop\u00ebn per\u00ebndimore dhe jugore.<\/p>\n
\u00c7far\u00eb na pret n\u00eb dimrin e vitit 2026\/2027?<\/p>\n
Analizat e dimrave t\u00eb m\u00ebparsh\u00ebm me El Ni\u00f1o sugjerojn\u00eb se Evropa mund t\u00eb shoh\u00eb potencial t\u00eb shtuar p\u00ebr bor\u00eb n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt qendrore dhe juglindore t\u00eb kontinentit, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Gadishullin Ballkanik, megjith\u00ebse k\u00ebto sinjale jan\u00eb duksh\u00ebm m\u00eb t\u00eb dob\u00ebta dhe m\u00eb pak t\u00eb besueshme se n\u00eb Shtetet e Bashkuara.<\/p>\n
Meteorolog\u00ebt paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb se parashikime t\u00eb tilla bazohen n\u00eb mesatare afatgjata dhe se rezultati p\u00ebrfundimtar varet nga nj\u00eb num\u00ebr faktor\u00ebsh, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb modelet atmosferike rajonale dhe shp\u00ebrndarjen e masave t\u00eb ajrit t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, nj\u00eb gj\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e sigurt: sistemi global i klim\u00ebs po hyn n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb ndryshimesh t\u00eb m\u00ebdha dhe stin\u00ebt e ardhshme do t\u00eb sjellin kushte t\u00eb ndryshme moti krahasuar me vitet e kaluara. \/tesheshi.com\/<\/p>\n
Burimi: tesheshi<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sipas nj\u00eb analize nga portali meteorologjik Severe Weather Europe, fenomeni klimatik La Ni\u00f1a po dob\u00ebsohet me shpejt\u00ebsi mbi Paq\u00ebsorin tropikal, duke sh\u00ebnuar fillimin e nj\u00eb ndryshimi t\u00eb madh n\u00eb modelet globale t\u00eb motit. Megjith\u00ebse ndikimi i tij n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb deri n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb pranver\u00ebs, meteorolog\u00ebt parashikojn\u00eb se Evropa mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrjetoj\u00eb mot […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":91991,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-91990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-teknologji"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91990","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=91990"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91990\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":91992,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/91990\/revisions\/91992"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/91991"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=91990"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=91990"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/al\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=91990"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}