{"id":38582,"date":"2026-04-04T12:50:38","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T10:50:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/felaket-iki-derecenin-arkasina-gizlendi\/"},"modified":"2026-04-04T12:50:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T10:50:39","slug":"felaket-iki-derecenin-arkasina-gizlendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/felaket-iki-derecenin-arkasina-gizlendi\/","title":{"rendered":"Felaket iki derecenin arkas\u0131na “gizlendi”"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

Genellikle a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmayla ili\u015fkili a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hava olaylar\u0131, s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 iki santigrat derece ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olsa bile meydana gelebilir.<\/p>\n

Yeni bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n seviyelerin yakla\u015f\u0131k iki santigrat derece \u00fczerinde sabitlendi\u011fi bir senaryoda \u015fehirlerdeki \u00f6l\u00fcmc\u00fcl sellerin, y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 orman yang\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n ve \u00f6nemli tar\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerinde y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 kurakl\u0131klar\u0131n \u00f6nceden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden daha s\u0131k meydana gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. sanayi \u00f6ncesi.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015f yazar\u0131 Emanuele Bevacqua’ya g\u00f6re sonu\u00e7lar, \u00f6zellikle sosyal a\u00e7\u0131dan \u00f6nemli sekt\u00f6rler \u00fczerindeki etkilerin orta dereceli \u0131s\u0131nma ko\u015fullar\u0131nda bile \u015fiddetli olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, H\u00fck\u00fcmetleraras\u0131 \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi Paneli (IPCC) taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131lanlarla ayn\u0131 olan elli iklim modelini analiz etti. Hesaplanan ortalamalara dayanan ola\u011fan raporlardan farkl\u0131 olarak bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fini belirlemek i\u00e7in kal\u0131plar\u0131 ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ekip \u00fc\u00e7 hassas sekt\u00f6re odakland\u0131: yo\u011fun n\u00fcfuslu alanlar, tah\u0131l \u00fcreten b\u00f6lgeler ve ormanlar. “Nature” dergisinde yay\u0131nlanan sonu\u00e7lar, iki santigrat derecelik \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n, yo\u011funluklar\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fen iklim olaylar\u0131na neden olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Kentsel alanlarda ya\u011f\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde d\u00f6rt ila on be\u015f oran\u0131nda artabilir ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 drenaj kapasiteleri nedeniyle b\u00fcy\u00fck sellere neden olabilir. Bu b\u00f6lgeler i\u00e7in en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryolar, \u00f6zellikle Hindistan ve Orta Afrika’da, \u00fc\u00e7 santigrat derecelik \u0131s\u0131nma alt\u0131nda beklenenden daha a\u015f\u0131r\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Tar\u0131ma gelince, yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt modelden biri, iki santigrat derecelik \u0131s\u0131nman\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki kurakl\u0131klar\u0131n d\u00f6rt santigrat derecelik senaryoda beklenenler kadar \u015fiddetli olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. En \u00e7ok etkilenen b\u00f6lgeler aras\u0131nda Hindistan yar\u0131madas\u0131, Do\u011fu Asya ve Kuzey Orta Amerika yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu arada, ormanl\u0131k b\u00f6lgelerde, yang\u0131n\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131ran havan\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 santigrat derecelik \u0131s\u0131nma kadar yo\u011fun hale gelerek Kanada, Rusya ve Amazon’daki kritik karbon rezervlerini tehlikeye sokma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 be\u015fte birdir.<\/p>\n

Bu a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n iki santigrat derecenin alt\u0131nda meydana gelme \u015fans\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olsa da, ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar adaptasyon \u00f6nlemleri planlan\u0131rken bunlar\u0131n dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurguluyor.<\/p>\n

Yaln\u0131zca \u015fu noktalara odaklan\u0131l\u0131yor: model ortalamalar\u0131 yanl\u0131\u015f bir g\u00fcvenlik duygusu yaratabilir. Bu bulgular, do\u011fan\u0131n getirebilece\u011fi k\u00f6t\u00fc s\u00fcrprizlerden ka\u00e7\u0131nmak i\u00e7in k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 iki santigrat derecenin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlaman\u0131n aciliyetini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Uzmanlar, emisyonlar\u0131 azaltman\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra daha iyi su y\u00f6netimi politikalar\u0131n\u0131n bitkisel \u00fcretim sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki baz\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 hafifletebilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. \/tesheshi.com\/<\/p>\n

Tecr\u00fcbeyi geli\u015ftirmek ve reklamlar\u0131 (Google AdSense) g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclemek i\u00e7in \u00e7erezleri kullan\u0131r\u0131z.
\n “Kabul Et” se\u00e7ene\u011fine t\u0131klayarak \u00e7erezlerin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fartlara g\u00f6re kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmi\u015f olursunuz.
\n Gizlilik Politikas\u0131
\n ve
\n \u00c7erez Politikas\u0131.
\n “Reddet”i t\u0131klayarak gerekli olmayan \u00e7erezleri reddedebilirsiniz.<\/p>\n

\n

Kaynak: prizrenpost<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Genellikle a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmayla ili\u015fkili a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hava olaylar\u0131, s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 iki santigrat derece ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olsa bile meydana gelebilir. Yeni bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, s\u0131cakl\u0131klar\u0131n seviyelerin yakla\u015f\u0131k iki santigrat derece \u00fczerinde sabitlendi\u011fi bir senaryoda \u015fehirlerdeki \u00f6l\u00fcmc\u00fcl sellerin, y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 orman yang\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n ve \u00f6nemli tar\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerinde y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 kurakl\u0131klar\u0131n \u00f6nceden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclenden daha s\u0131k meydana gelebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. sanayi \u00f6ncesi. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":38583,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-teknoloji"],"views":34,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38582"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38582\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38584,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38582\/revisions\/38584"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38583"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}