{"id":8311,"date":"2017-05-26T17:52:41","date_gmt":"2017-05-26T15:52:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/?p=8311"},"modified":"2017-05-26T17:52:41","modified_gmt":"2017-05-26T15:52:41","slug":"muslumanlar-ve-islam-buyume-hizi-ve-nufusu-esliginde-abd-ve-bati-ne-dusunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/muslumanlar-ve-islam-buyume-hizi-ve-nufusu-esliginde-abd-ve-bati-ne-dusunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar ve \u0130slam: B\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131 ve n\u00fcfusu e\u015fli\u011finde ABD ve Bat\u0131 ne d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar ve \u0130slam<\/p><\/div>\n

ABD’li ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi PEW, 2070 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u0130slam’\u0131n d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck dini olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor…<\/p>\n

PEW’in “d\u00fcnya dinlerinin gelece\u011fi” adl\u0131 yeni \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda, mevcut e\u011filimin devam etmesi halinde 2070 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u0130slam dininin Hristiyanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ece\u011fini ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en yayg\u0131n dini olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n

\u015eUANK\u0130 M\u00dcSL\u00dcMAN N\u00dcFUS<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, d\u00fcnyadaki M\u00fcsl\u00fcman say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 1.6 milyar oldu\u011fu, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 2.17 milyar Hristiyan\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi. Yap\u0131lan n\u00fcfus tahmin modellemelerine g\u00f6re bu say\u0131lar 2050’ye gelindi\u011finde s\u0131ras\u0131yla 2.76 milyar ve 2.92 milyar olacak.<\/p>\n

ABD’DEK\u0130 MEVCUT M\u00dcSL\u00dcMAN N\u00dcFUS<\/p>\n

2015 y\u0131l\u0131 tahminlerine g\u00f6re ABD’de 3.3 milyon M\u00fcsl\u00fcman var ki bu da genel n\u00fcfusun %1’ine tekab\u00fcl ediyor. 2011 tarihli bir ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n %63’\u00fc g\u00f6\u00e7men.<\/p>\n

ABD’DEK\u0130 M\u00dcSL\u00dcMAN N\u00dcFUS”NE OLACAK?”<\/p>\n

2050 tahminlerine g\u00f6re ABD’deki M\u00fcsl\u00fcman n\u00fcfusu %2,1’i ge\u00e7erek, en kalabal\u0131k ikinci dini grup \u00fcnvan\u0131n\u0131 Yahudilerden alacak. (Dini olmayanlar bu s\u0131ralamada yer almam\u0131\u015f)<\/p>\n

GREEN CARD ve M\u00dcSL\u00dcMANLAR<\/p>\n

2012 y\u0131l\u0131na ait bir \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaya g\u00f6re ge\u00e7ici iskan ve \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma izni anlam\u0131na gelen \u201cGreen Card\u201d alanlar\u0131n i\u00e7erisindeki M\u00fcsl\u00fcman oran\u0131 1992 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki %5’lik orandan %10 seviyesine s\u0131\u00e7rayarak 100 bin seviyesini a\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

PEK\u0130 ARA\u015eTIRMAYA G\u00d6RE 2M\u00dcSL\u00dcMAN N\u00dcFUS NEDNE B\u00dcY\u00dcYOR?<\/p>\n

1- Basit ifade ile daha \u00e7ok \u00e7ocuk sahibi olmalar\u0131, buna en b\u00fcy\u00fck sebep. M\u00fcsl\u00fcman kad\u0131nlar\u0131n sahip olduklar\u0131 \u00e7ocuk ortalamas\u0131 3,1. T\u00fcm d\u00fcnya kad\u0131nlar\u0131n\u0131n (M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar hari\u00e7) ortalamas\u0131 ise 2,3.<\/p>\n

2- M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar t\u00fcm b\u00fcy\u00fck dini gruplar i\u00e7erisinde en gen\u00e7 n\u00fcfusa sahip. 2010 y\u0131l\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131na g\u00f6re ya\u015f ortalamas\u0131 23. Bu M\u00fcsl\u00fcman olmayanlardan ortalamada 7 ya\u015f gen\u00e7 olduklar\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

3- Genel n\u00fcfusa etki etmese de, Kuzey Amerika ve Avrupa’da g\u00f6\u00e7 nedeni ile de n\u00fcfuslar\u0131 artmakta.<\/p>\n

ABD ve BATI NE D\u00dc\u015e\u00dcN\u00dcYOR?<\/p>\n

PEW, \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lardan 9 inan\u00e7 grubunun mensuplar\u0131 (Yahudilik, Katoliklik, Protestanl\u0131k, Evanjeliklik, Budizm, Hinduizm, Mormonlar, Ateizmdir, \u0130slam) hakk\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 0 ile 100 aras\u0131ndaki rakamlarla puanlamalar\u0131n\u0131 istiyor. \u201c0\u201d en so\u011fuk hisleri; \u201c100\u201d ise en s\u0131cak yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

Genel ortalamaya bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Amerikal\u0131lar M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlara 48 puan verdiler. Bu rakam 50 puan alan ateistlere \u00e7ok yak\u0131n.<\/p>\n

Amerikan halk\u0131 ne d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor?<\/p>\n

Amerikan halk\u0131 sekiz inanca kar\u015f\u0131 \u0130slam’a nazaran daha s\u0131cak bakmak\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2014’te durum b\u00f6yle de\u011fildi:<\/p>\n

2014 y\u0131l\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilen ayn\u0131 ankette t\u00fcm inan\u00e7lara yakla\u015f\u0131m daha so\u011fuktu. M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlara ortalama 40 puan verilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

I\u015e\u0130D i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir tarih:<\/p>\n

Bu tarih (2014) I\u015e\u0130D’in global anlamda tan\u0131nmas\u0131 ile ayn\u0131 tarih. Me\u015fhur Musul i\u015fgali s\u0131ras\u0131nda I\u015e\u0130D militanlar\u0131n\u0131n tweet atmas\u0131 gibi sonras\u0131nda da son teknolojik kurgu programlar\u0131 ve sinema malzemeleri ile \u00e7ekilmi\u015f y\u00fcksek kalitede videolar, \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fcn k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede tan\u0131nmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Fakat hen\u00fcz 2016’n\u0131n sonlar\u0131na gelindi\u011finde seri bir \u015fekilde devam eden video ve foto\u011fraf ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 neredeyse kesilecek noktaya gelmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

ABD’nin demokratlar\u0131, cumhuriyet\u00e7ileri:<\/p>\n

M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n Cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerden ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortalama 39 iken; demokratlardan al\u0131nan puan 56’ya var\u0131yor. \u0130slam ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 hareketler hakk\u0131nda cumhuriyet\u00e7ilerin %67 kayg\u0131 duyarken bu oran demokratlarda %40 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n

2016’daki tablo:<\/p>\n

Buna ek olarak 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lan bir ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re yine Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler demokratlardan daha y\u00fcksek oranda \u0130slam’\u0131n inananlar\u0131 di\u011fer dinlere nazaran daha fazla \u015fiddete sevk etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor. (%70-%26) \u00d6te yandan M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n haks\u0131z bir \u015fekilde olumsuz muamele g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne olan inan\u00e7 Cumhuriyet\u00e7iler aras\u0131nda %40 iken; Demokratlar bu fikre %69 oran\u0131nda kat\u0131lmakta. Neredeyse halk\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 (%49) baz\u0131 Amerikal\u0131 M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n ABD kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa ne d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor?<\/p>\n

2016 bahar\u0131nda, 10 Avrupa \u00fclkesinde bir ara\u015ft\u0131rma yap\u0131ld\u0131 ve insanlara \u00fclkelerinden I\u015eID gibi \u00f6rg\u00fctlere ne oranda destek\u00e7iler bulundu\u011funa dair tahminde bulunmalar\u0131 istendi. \u00c7o\u011fu \u00fclkede verilen cevap \u201c\u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r\u201d veya \u201claf\u0131 bile edilmeyecek kadar az\u201d \u015feklinde olsa da \u0130talya’da halk\u0131n %46’s\u0131 \u201cbir\u00e7ok ki\u015fi\u201d veya \u201cM\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu\u201d cevaplar\u0131ndan birini verdi.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 ankette Avrupal\u0131lara, M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlara olumlu mu yoksa olumsuz mu yakla\u015ft\u0131klar\u0131 da soruldu. Macaristan, \u0130talya, Polonya ve Yunanistan halklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu olumsuz yakla\u015f\u0131ma sahip olduklar\u0131n\u0131 kabul ederlerken; Fransa, Almanya, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve di\u011fer Bat\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkelerinde sahip olunan yakla\u015f\u0131m \u00e7ok daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 ve hatta baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerde olumlu \u015fekilde oldu\u011fu ortaya koyuldu. M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n daha yo\u011fun \u015fekilde ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve di\u011fer kesimlerle yo\u011fun ili\u015fkiye girdi\u011fi \u00fclkelerde \u0130slam’a olan olumlu bak\u0131\u015f dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

Bir ba\u015fka husus ise Sa\u011f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe sahip olanlar\u0131n sol g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fe sahip olanlarla k\u0131yasland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ciddi \u015fekilde olumsuz fikre sahip olduklar\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: TimeT\u00fcrk<\/p>\n

*Yazarlar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri mutlak olarak Prizren Post\u2019un g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini temsil etmemektedir.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD’li ara\u015ft\u0131rma \u015firketi PEW, 2070 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar \u0130slam’\u0131n d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck dini olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor… PEW’in “d\u00fcnya dinlerinin gelece\u011fi” adl\u0131 yeni \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda, mevcut e\u011filimin devam etmesi halinde 2070 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u0130slam dininin Hristiyanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ge\u00e7ece\u011fini ve d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en yayg\u0131n dini olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. \u015eUANK\u0130 M\u00dcSL\u00dcMAN N\u00dcFUS Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, d\u00fcnyadaki M\u00fcsl\u00fcman say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 1.6 milyar oldu\u011fu, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 2.17 milyar Hristiyan\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8312,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[500,881,1160,675],"class_list":["post-8311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kose-yazilari","tag-amerika","tag-islam","tag-koseyazilari","tag-muslumanlar"],"views":475,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8311"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8311\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8313,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8311\/revisions\/8313"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/prizrenpost.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}