Nuclear program, sanctions, regional security and Israeli influence

Negotiations between Donald Trump and Iran are approaching an agreement that could change the balance in the Middle East, but its signing continues to be postponed. Although both sides speak of progress in the talks, the diplomatic reality shows that the most sensitive political and strategic nodes still remain unresolved.

The Italian news agency ANSA reports that the main issue remains the Iranian nuclear program. Washington demands strong and binding guarantees that Tehran does not develop nuclear weapons, while Iran rejects any formula that could be interpreted as a surrender of its strategic sovereignty.

For the US administration this is a “red line”, but for the Iranian regime it is a matter of prestige and political survival. In this negotiation climate, Iran’s mistrust of the American position is also growing.

Tehran believes that the US is not completely free in decision-making due to its strategic dependence on Israel and the strong pressure coming from Benjamin Netanyahu’s government.

For the Iranians, any agreement can be changed or canceled if Israeli interests require it. This makes Tehran more careful not to accept immediate concessions, without concrete economic and political guarantees.

Another sticking point is Iranian assets frozen abroad. Iran wants the immediate release of billions of dollars as proof of credibility, while the US prefers a gradual process, conditional on compliance with the agreement. This difference reflects the lack of mutual trust that continues to dominate relations between the two countries.

Even the Strait of Hormuz remains part of the diplomatic pressure. Its opening is considered essential for the stability of global energy markets, but Iran is using the issue as a strong bargaining chip to secure sanctions relief and greater political recognition.

Domestically in the US, the deal also faces strong political opposition. Republican figures like Lindsey Graham and Ted Cruz have warned that a soft deal with Iran would strengthen Tehran and create uncertainty for Israel.

This prompts Trump to seek a deal that can be presented as a strategic victory rather than a weak compromise. On the other hand, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian must balance the pressure of the Revolutionary Guard, the religious elite and the internal economic crisis.

Any compromise with the US is viewed with suspicion by the most radical wings. Basically, the deal is not being delayed just for technical reasons. It is hampered by historical rivalry, deep political mistrust and Iran’s conviction that US policy in the region continues to be conditioned by Israel’s interests and security.

This is precisely what makes the negotiation much more fragile than the optimistic statements coming from both sides. square

Source: prizrenpost